EC São Bernardo vs Ponte Preta B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
BER
2 - 0
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 3
BER
66%
22%
12%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
BER
1 - 1
AGU
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
BER
1 - 2
SAO
17%
24%
59%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
AAP
0 - 2
BER
14%
19%
67%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
AAP
2 - 1
SAN
10%
19%
71%
|
18 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
AGU
2 - 1
AAP
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
AAP
0 - 1
SAO
9%
18%
73%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 2
AAP
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
AAP
0 - 2
BER
14%
19%
67%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |