Nova Cidade vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Cidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 1
NCI
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 1
FRI
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NCI
4 - 0
PER
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +6 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 0
NCI
58%
23%
18%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 1
BAR
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SER
0 - 3
PER
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 2
SER
58%
24%
18%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SER
1 - 4
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CIG
0 - 6
SER
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
PAD
25%
23%
53%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |