Nova Cidade vs Pérolas Negras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
57.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Cidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 0
NCI
58%
23%
18%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 1
BAR
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CIG
0 - 1
NCI
44%
23%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 2
PAD
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DUQ
2 - 0
NCI
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
FRI
43%
24%
32%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
SFC
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
PER
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
PER
3 - 0
CIG
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
PER
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |