Nova Cidade vs Paduano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
63.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Cidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DUQ
2 - 0
NCI
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 0
NCI
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NCI
5 - 0
ANG
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CIG
1 - 0
NCI
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NCI
0 - 0
DUQ
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Paduano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
PER
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
CIG
0 - 3
PAD
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PAD
4 - 0
RIO
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
PAD
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
PAD
1 - 1
SFC
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |