Nova Cidade vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
51.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Cidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NCI
4 - 0
PER
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 0
NCI
58%
23%
18%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 1
BAR
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CIG
0 - 1
NCI
44%
23%
34%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 2
PAD
18%
19%
63%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FRI
0 - 1
DUQ
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
FRI
43%
24%
32%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FRI
1 - 0
SAO
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 0
FRI
43%
27%
30%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
FRI
0 - 0
AME
28%
26%
46%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |