Nova Cidade vs Barra da Tijuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
58.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Cidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CIG
0 - 1
NCI
44%
23%
34%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 2
PAD
18%
19%
63%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DUQ
2 - 0
NCI
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 0
NCI
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NCI
5 - 0
ANG
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Barra da Tijuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
PER
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 2
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 2
FRI
33%
27%
41%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
AME
0 - 1
BAR
71%
19%
10%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
AME
15%
23%
63%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |