Macapá vs Santana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SPM
0 - 6
ECM
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
IAP
2 - 0
ECM
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ECM
1 - 1
ORC
39%
22%
39%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
YAP
3 - 2
ECM
59%
24%
17%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
ECM
73%
18%
9%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SEC
1 - 5
IAP
22%
21%
58%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
SEC
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
SEC
4 - 0
YAP
19%
19%
62%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SPM
1 - 2
SEC
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SEC
0 - 1
ORC
28%
21%
51%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |