Macapá vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
49.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
TDC
1 - 0
ECM
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
ECM
1 - 2
IAP
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
ORC
0 - 1
ECM
57%
20%
23%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 1
ECM
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
ECM
0 - 1
TDC
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
IAP
2 - 2
ORC
56%
21%
24%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
ORC
0 - 0
IAP
25%
21%
54%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
ORC
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
ORC
0 - 1
ECM
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
ORC
3 - 0
SPM
55%
20%
26%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |