Bahía vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
BAH
2 - 2
BAH
14%
21%
65%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
BAH
2 - 0
SDJ
84%
12%
4%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
BAH
15%
24%
61%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 0
BAH
10%
22%
68%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BAH
0 - 3
ABC
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
VIT
4 - 1
FEI
84%
11%
5%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
JUA
0 - 1
VIT
15%
22%
63%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
VIT
3 - 1
BOT
89%
8%
3%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 4
CEA
60%
22%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
CEA
0 - 2
VIT
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |