Baiano 1 Final
Global 3-3
Bahía vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 0
POR
53%
22%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 0
BAH
58%
22%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIT
80%
14%
7%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
BAH
51%
24%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 0
BAH
16%
22%
62%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
VIT
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 0
BAH
58%
22%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 1
BOT
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 2
FEI
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 0
VIT
18%
24%
58%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |