Bahía vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MDE
0 - 0
BAH
21%
22%
56%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
BAH
0 - 1
BAH
25%
23%
52%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 2
BAH
17%
21%
62%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 0
ALA
76%
15%
10%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
ALA
2 - 2
BAH
21%
23%
57%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
COR
3 - 1
VIT
18%
23%
59%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
VIT
4 - 0
IPI
85%
11%
5%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
VIT
3 - 1
FLU
81%
13%
7%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
FEI
0 - 3
VIT
14%
20%
66%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 0
FEI
86%
10%
4%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |