Bahía vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
COL
1 - 5
BAH
16%
22%
61%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 3
BAH
66%
20%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 0
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
PPE
1 - 3
BAH
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
VIT
5 - 2
IPI
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
FLU
40%
26%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
IPI
1 - 2
VIT
41%
24%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
VIT
84%
11%
6%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
MDE
54%
23%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |