Bahía vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
POT
2 - 2
BAH
25%
23%
52%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
BAH
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
BAH
3 - 1
COL
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 2
BAH
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BAH
4 - 1
FEI
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VIT
5 - 1
CFC
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
CFC
2 - 3
VIT
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 2
BAH
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
COL
0 - 1
VIT
32%
24%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 1
ITA
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |