Bahía vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 1
BAH
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAH
66%
22%
13%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
BAH
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 0
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 2
GRE
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
VAS
4 - 2
NAU
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
VAS
26%
25%
49%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
VAS
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 1
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
VAS
0 - 0
COR
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |