Bahía vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
GRE
1 - 1
BAH
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
BAH
4 - 2
PAR
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
ATM
1 - 0
BAH
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
JUV
1 - 0
BAH
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
BAH
1 - 3
SCI
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLU
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
SAO
2 - 1
VAS
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAS
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 1
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
VAS
3 - 2
SAO
39%
25%
37%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |