Série A Last 16
Global 5-6
Bahía vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
BAH
0 - 1
GOI
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
JUV
0 - 0
BAH
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
BAH
1 - 2
PAL
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2000 |
BAH
2 - 1
AMF
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
BAH
2 - 0
BOT
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2000 |
VAS
4 - 1
RIV
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
VAS
0 - 4
SAO
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2000 |
GRE
0 - 1
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
VAS
1 - 2
BOT
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 0
VAS
54%
22%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |