Bahía vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
COT
1 - 1
BAH
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
BAH
3 - 2
SAN
61%
21%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
BAH
1 - 3
CRZ
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
SAO
1 - 1
BAH
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
GAM
0 - 1
BAH
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2000 |
VAS
1 - 1
PEÑ
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
VAS
2 - 2
ATP
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2000 |
ATM
2 - 0
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
POR
2 - 2
VAS
35%
26%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2000 |
VAS
3 - 0
SLO
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |