Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-2
Bahía vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1989 |
UNI
1 - 1
BAH
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1989 |
BAH
4 - 1
TAC
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1989 |
BAH
3 - 2
MAR
84%
13%
3%
|
76 | 29 | 47 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1989 |
BAH
1 - 0
SCI
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1989 |
TAC
1 - 1
BAH
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1989 |
UNI
1 - 1
BAH
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1989 |
RAC
2 - 0
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1989 |
BOC
2 - 0
UNI
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
UNI
4 - 0
SPC
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
UNI
2 - 1
RAC
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |