Baiano 1 Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Bahía vs Serrano SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
BAH
12%
22%
66%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAH
17%
24%
59%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 3
BAH
16%
24%
59%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAH
2 - 1
JAC
79%
15%
7%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
BAH
12%
22%
66%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
JAC
5 - 0
SER
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
GAL
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 0
SER
90%
8%
3%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | -1 |