Bahía vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
10%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
16.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
20.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.7%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.3%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
11.7%
2.5%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
BAH
6%
17%
77%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
ALT
0 - 5
BAH
8%
19%
74%
|
77 | 40 | 37 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
JAC
1 - 0
BAH
7%
18%
75%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 2
BAH
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
OSE
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
CEA
7%
17%
76%
|
39 | 75 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
BOC
0 - 1
SER
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
LAG
2 - 1
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |