Bahía vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
BAH
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 3
SPO
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
BAH
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
ATM
0 - 2
BAH
74%
18%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 1
AVA
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 2
COT
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
3 - 4
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAS
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
SAO
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |