Bahía vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2001 |
FOR
3 - 0
BAH
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
BAH
0 - 0
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 2
BAH
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
BAH
2 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2001 |
ARN
1 - 4
BAH
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2001 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAO
88%
8%
4%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAL
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
DEF
0 - 1
SAO
43%
25%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2001 |
SAO
3 - 0
OLM
52%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 0
DEF
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |