Bahía vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
COT
3 - 2
BAH
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 1
BAH
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
BAH
3 - 0
SAO
32%
24%
43%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
GOI
3 - 1
BAH
54%
23%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BAH
1 - 1
FFL
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 2
ATP
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 1
CIE
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
SAO
2 - 2
SAN
37%
28%
36%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
70%
18%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |