Bahía vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BAH
0 - 2
BAH
13%
22%
65%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
GLO
0 - 0
BAH
10%
17%
73%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BAH
0 - 2
VIT
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
SDJ
1 - 2
BAH
13%
22%
65%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
BAH
4 - 0
GAL
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 1
SAN
15%
21%
64%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 0
SAN
18%
23%
59%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
CON
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
CEN
82%
14%
4%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | -1 |