Bahía vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BAH
0 - 0
BAH
74%
18%
8%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
BAH
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIT
74%
18%
8%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 0
CRI
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
COL
0 - 0
BAH
9%
19%
72%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
CRI
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
SAN
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 3
NAU
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
CRB
3 - 2
SAN
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 1
BRA
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |