Bahía vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
GOI
3 - 0
BAH
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
BAH
1 - 1
FLU
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
5 - 1
BAH
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
BAH
1 - 1
GRE
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
VAS
0 - 1
BAH
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 5
ATP
22%
25%
54%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 0
POR
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
COR
2 - 2
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
CRZ
4 - 1
SAN
80%
14%
7%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |