Bahía vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 1
BAH
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BAH
2 - 1
VIT
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
FLA
4 - 1
BAH
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BAH
2 - 0
COR
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 2
BAH
72%
19%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
PPE
1 - 0
COR
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PPE
1 - 2
AVA
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 0
PPE
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
PPE
1 - 1
SAN
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CRZ
2 - 1
PPE
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |