Bahía vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
67%
19%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 2
BAH
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
4 - 0
BAH
13%
22%
66%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 0
MAR
88%
9%
3%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 1
VIT
71%
18%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 0
NAU
80%
13%
6%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
0 - 2
SPO
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 0
NAU
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 1
CRB
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
NAU
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +1 |