Bahía vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
10.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BAH
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 1
CRB
64%
22%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
BAH
29%
29%
43%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
ATP
2 - 1
BAH
66%
20%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAH
21%
29%
51%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
LON
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 0
NAU
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAU
78%
16%
7%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 1
NOV
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |