Bahía vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
ALA
1 - 0
BAH
6%
19%
74%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
ARN
0 - 2
BAH
12%
22%
67%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BAH
1 - 0
CON
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BAH
0 - 0
ADA
88%
10%
2%
|
79 | 23 | 56 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 2
BAH
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 2
NAU
20%
24%
57%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
NAU
0 - 3
FOR
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 2
RFC
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
CRB
2 - 3
NAU
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAU
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |