Bahía vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
AVA
0 - 0
BAH
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
NAU
4 - 1
BAH
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
BAH
1 - 0
NAU
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2004 |
BAH
1 - 0
AVA
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
BAH
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 1
NAU
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 3
AVA
47%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
AVA
1 - 0
MAR
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2004 |
NAU
0 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
BAH
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |