Bahía vs Maranhão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
2.9%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 1
VIT
71%
18%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BAH
4 - 1
JEQ
86%
11%
3%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
CAX
2 - 2
BAH
13%
23%
64%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
JEQ
0 - 1
BAH
8%
19%
73%
|
86 | 49 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 2
BAH
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
3 - 4
MAR
32%
25%
42%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
MAR
73%
18%
10%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
COR
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
TRE
61%
23%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
PMA
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |