Bahía vs Madre de Deus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BAH
0 - 0
FLU
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 2
BAH
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
BAH
6 - 1
POT
73%
17%
11%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
POC
0 - 2
BAH
18%
22%
60%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Madre de Deus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
MDE
2 - 2
POC
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 1
MDE
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MDE
1 - 0
IPI
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MDE
4 - 3
CFC
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 1
MDE
88%
8%
4%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | 0 |