Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 1-2
Bahía vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
BAH
3 - 7
VIT
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 0
BAH
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
JUA
0 - 1
BAH
16%
24%
60%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
BAH
2 - 0
JUA
79%
15%
7%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
BAH
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 0
BAH
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LUV
0 - 1
MIX
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
LUV
3 - 0
TUP
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MIX
2 - 1
LUV
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
TUP
1 - 0
LUV
31%
26%
44%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |