Baiano 1 Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Bahía vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
15%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
18.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.7%
3.6%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
CEA
3 - 1
BAH
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
BAH
1 - 0
CON
78%
15%
6%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
JAC
0 - 2
BAH
7%
20%
73%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
BAH
2 - 0
FLU
87%
11%
2%
|
79 | 41 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
BAH
3 - 1
BOT
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
JAC
0 - 2
BAH
7%
20%
73%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
JAC
0 - 1
ALA
43%
25%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
FLU
1 - 2
JAC
33%
26%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
JAC
1 - 0
VIT
9%
17%
74%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
JAC
3 - 0
JEC
55%
23%
23%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |