Bahía vs Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.7%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.4%
5-0
9.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
+5
11.3%
4-0
13.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.9%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
5.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.7%
1.5%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 1
SPO
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 0
BAR
95%
5%
1%
|
85 | 41 | 44 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 2
BAH
10%
21%
70%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
BAH
5 - 0
JEC
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 39 | 46 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ALA
3 - 3
BAH
10%
21%
69%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SDJ
1 - 1
ITA
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
3 - 1
JAC
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 1
BAH
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
1 - 1
ITA
11%
17%
72%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 2
ALA
63%
20%
18%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |