Baiano 1 Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Bahía vs Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
FPI
1 - 1
BAH
10%
18%
72%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
BAH
24%
25%
52%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 1
BAH
16%
23%
61%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
JAC
1 - 4
BAH
14%
23%
63%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
BAH
24%
25%
52%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
4 - 0
BAH
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BAH
4 - 0
ITA
26%
23%
51%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 1
ADA
82%
12%
6%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
ITA
18%
20%
62%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |