Bahía vs Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.7%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 2
BAH
15%
22%
63%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 2
BAH
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 1
JUA
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
AUT
0 - 3
BAH
11%
18%
71%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
0 - 2
BAH
12%
20%
68%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
3 - 2
CFC
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 3
FEI
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 1
ITA
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 0
ITA
48%
23%
28%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 2
FLU
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |