Bahía vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 0
BAH
64%
20%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 1
BAH
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 1
VAS
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 4
ATM
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
BAH
3 - 1
JUV
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 1
FLU
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
OLI
2 - 3
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 1
VIT
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
GOI
1 - 1
GRE
44%
25%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |