Bahía vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
5 - 1
BAH
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
BAH
1 - 1
GRE
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
VAS
0 - 1
BAH
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
BAH
4 - 0
ATM
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 1
BAH
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
FLU
3 - 1
COT
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
AMF
1 - 0
FLU
32%
26%
43%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
FLU
2 - 0
PPE
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
ATP
1 - 2
FLU
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
FLU
2 - 1
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |