Baiano 1 Semi-finals
Global 5-2
Bahía vs Fluminense de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 2
BAH
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
COT
0 - 0
BAH
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
BAH
4 - 2
ITA
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
MDE
3 - 2
BAH
23%
22%
55%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 2
COT
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 2
BAH
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
FLU
40%
26%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 1
ALA
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CFC
0 - 1
FLU
34%
26%
41%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 0
IPI
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |