Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
Bahía vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 0
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 2
BAH
47%
25%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 0
BOT
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 0
BAH
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 1
BRA
45%
26%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 0
FLA
30%
24%
46%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
4 - 1
FLA
49%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 0
BOL
66%
19%
14%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 1
PAL
49%
26%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |