Bahía vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
IFC
0 - 0
BAH
58%
22%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BAH
1 - 2
BRA
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
ABC
3 - 0
BAH
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BAH
1 - 4
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 1
BAH
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DUQ
0 - 1
VAS
15%
24%
61%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ARN
0 - 1
DUQ
62%
22%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
DUQ
4 - 3
FOR
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 2
DUQ
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
DUQ
0 - 1
BRA
30%
27%
44%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |