Bahía vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
CRZ
5 - 2
BAH
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
BAH
0 - 0
COR
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
ATP
2 - 1
BAH
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
BAH
0 - 0
SAO
50%
24%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
PPE
1 - 0
BAH
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2003 |
PAR
2 - 1
CRI
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
CRI
2 - 3
COT
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 2
CRI
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
CRI
4 - 3
FLA
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
CRI
3 - 0
JUV
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |