Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 2-1
Bahía vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 0
BAH
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
BAH
46%
24%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 1
SCI
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
BAH
49%
24%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 1
COR
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 4
BOT
53%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
BAH
46%
24%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 3
CRZ
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 2
BOT
45%
27%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
SCI
55%
25%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |