Conmebol Sudamericana Playoffs 1/32
Global 4-1
Bahía vs Blooming analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 0
BAH
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
BAH
2 - 2
SAO
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
BAH
3 - 0
VAS
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
BAH
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
BAH
0 - 0
BOT
80%
15%
6%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Blooming
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2018 |
BLO
1 - 3
JWI
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
JWI
3 - 0
BLO
61%
22%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 3
BLO
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
BLO
0 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
BLO
1 - 0
BAH
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +3 |