Bahía vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
SDJ
0 - 0
BAH
7%
18%
76%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
JEQ
1 - 3
BAH
6%
17%
77%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BAH
2 - 0
PBA
96%
4%
0%
|
88 | 32 | 56 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
BAH
4 - 0
SAM
76%
17%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 2
ARN
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
POT
0 - 1
ARN
13%
23%
64%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ARN
2 - 0
FEL
81%
14%
5%
|
65 | 29 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ABC
1 - 0
ARN
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
ARN
2 - 1
SDJ
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |