Bahía vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
JAC
0 - 1
BAH
11%
22%
67%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
BAH
3 - 1
SDJ
86%
11%
4%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 2
BAH
31%
29%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 1
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
4 - 0
BAH
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALA
14%
18%
68%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 2
ALA
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
JAC
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 3
ASA
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |