Baiano 1 Semi-finals
Global 5-0
Bahía vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.3%
2-0
19.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.9%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.8%
3.5%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
JEQ
0 - 5
BAH
4%
11%
85%
|
77 | 39 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
BAH
0 - 1
SER
86%
12%
3%
|
77 | 39 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
BAH
6%
17%
77%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
ALT
0 - 5
BAH
8%
19%
74%
|
77 | 40 | 37 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ALA
3 - 2
JAC
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
JEC
0 - 2
ALA
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 2
ALA
88%
10%
3%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ALA
3 - 1
BAH
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 0
ALA
53%
25%
23%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |