Bahía vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BAH
2 - 1
CEA
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
BAH
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BAH
0 - 2
PAL
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 0
BAH
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 1
BAH
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BAH
3 - 1
ALA
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 0
BAH
18%
23%
58%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ALA
3 - 4
VIT
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 0
ALA
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 0
ALA
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | -1 |